Testing the Combination of Two Immunotherapy Drugs (Magrolimab and Dinutuximab) in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Neuroblastoma or Relapsed Osteosarcoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 29% for any early termination, 8% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 24% of the time (231 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2024-09-30, after 2021-08-31 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-09-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: priorrelapsedgrowthtreatingmri
Phrases that lowered it: patients whodosepulmonarypatients withuln -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 18.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Sponsor's past trials: 1348 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 148 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 18.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: 35 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 89.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor type: government (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 2 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Design: sequential (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 143 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 2 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 35 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1348 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 18.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 148 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 453 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 143 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 89.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 18.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- dinutuximab, dinutuximab beta, magrolimab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Testing the Addition of an Anti-cancer Drug, Hu5F9-G4 (Magrolimab), to the Usual Chemotherapy Treatment (Mogamulizumab) in T-Cell (a Type of Immune Cell) Lymphoma That Has Returned After Treatment or Does Not Respond to Treatment NCT04541017 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials terminated
- A Phase I Trial Of The Humanized Anti-GD2 Antibody In Children And Adolescents With Neuroblastoma, Osteosarcoma, Ewing Sarcoma and Melanoma NCT00743496 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 46% of active trials completed
- Combination Chemotherapy, Monoclonal Antibody, and Natural Killer Cells in Treating Young Patients With Recurrent or Refractory Neuroblastoma NCT01576692 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
- Biological Therapy, Sargramostim, and Isotretinoin in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Neuroblastoma NCT01334515 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 56% of active trials completed
- Durvalumab in Pediatric and Adolescent Patients NCT02793466 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.