A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of CC-93538 in Adult and Adolescent Participants With Eosinophilic Esophagitis
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 11% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 17% of the time (213 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-08-29, after 2021-02-22 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-08-29. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: placeboevidencepriorseveretreatment with
Phrases that lowered it: participantfoodto evaluateevaluate theesophagitis -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 13.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 49 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Keywords listed: 17 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 17 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 12 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 212 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 13.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 49 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- digestive, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of Lirentelimab (AK002) in Patients With Active Eosinophilic Esophagitis NCT04322708 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 29% of active trials completed
- Safety Study of CC-93538 in Adult and Adolescent Participants With Eosinophilic Esophagitis NCT04991935 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 56% of active trials completed
- 24-Week Induction Study of APT-1011 in Adult Subjects With Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) (FLUTE 3) NCT05634746 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
- Mepo for Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) Study NCT03656380 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety APT-1011 in Adolescent Subjects With Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) - A Sub-Study of the FLUTE-2 Trial NCT05083312 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.