An Open Label, Study of the Systemic Exposure to Articaine After Topical Ocular Dosing of AG-920
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2021-02-25, after 2021-02-24 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-02-25. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: ocularsubjectsophthalmicsystemiceye
Phrases that lowered it: healthyopen labelmmhgpressuredonated -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 19 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 0.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 22.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 19 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 1 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 572 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 52 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 22.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 0.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- articaine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Safety Study of of AG-920 Sterile Topical Ophthalmic Solution NCT05501860 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Study of the Safety and Anesthetic Effect of AG-920 Topical Ophthalmic Solution NCT04513652 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- A Study of the Safety and Anesthetic Effect of AG-920 Topical Ophthalmic Solution NCT04829344 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- A Study of Safety and the Local Anesthetic Effect of AG-920 Ophthalmic Solution in a Pediatric Population NCT05325853 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Open Label, Sequential-dose Study of PA5108 Latanoprost FA SR Ocular Implant for Mild-moderate Glaucoma NCT04060758 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.