Comparing of the Pharmacokinetic, Pharmacodynamic, Safety and Immunogenicity of MW032 and Xgeva® in Healthy Adults
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-02-26, after 2019-06-25 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-02-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancerenrollmenteffectivelimitedkidney
Phrases that lowered it: healthypharmacokineticcomparediseasessingle dose -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 50.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 14.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports before start: 134853 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past trials: 0 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 25280 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 65 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 134853 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 25280 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 50.5% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 14.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, musculoskeletal
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- denosumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Comparing of the Pharmacokinetic, Safety and Pharmacodynamic of QL1206 and Xgeva® in Healthy Adults NCT03651947 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- AVT03 With Xgeva in Healthy Male Subjects NCT05876949 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- Comparing of the Pharmacokinetic, Pharmacodynamic, Safety and Immunogenicity of MW031 and Prolia® in Healthy Adults NCT04798313 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study Comparing the Pharmacokinetic Similarity of MB09 and EU/US-Sourced Xgeva NCT05299073 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Single-dose and Multiple-dose X842 Phase 1 Study NCT04293965 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.