A Study of AZD8233 in Participants With Dyslipidemia.
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 8% of the time (60 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-09-10, after 2021-01-20 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-09-10. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: randomizationheartsubjects withmultipletime of
Phrases that lowered it: participantsldlpharmacokineticsjapaneseevaluate the -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past trials: 1651 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 156 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 7 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 7 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1651 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 8.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 156 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- metabolic
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of AZD8233 in Participants With Dyslipidemia NCT04641299 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Safety, Efficacy and Tolerability of AZD8233 Treatment in Participants With Hyperlipidaemia NCT04964557 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Efficacy, Safety and Tolerability of Different Doses of AZD0780 in Patients With Dyslipidemia NCT06173570 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials completed
- To Assess the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of AZD8233 After Multiple Dose Administration in Subjects With Dyslipidemia NCT04155645 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
- Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics (Movement of Drugs Within the Body) of AZD2693 in Healthy Participants NCT05107336 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.