A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Pioglitazone 15mg or 30mg Add-on in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Inadequately Controlled With Metformin and Dapagliflozin

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 5% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-03-10. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: failureheartuncontrolledivmyocardial
  Phrases that lowered it: visitand safetydiseasesefficacy andto evaluate
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 8.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 19 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 67.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 383750 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• The Potential of Dapagliflozin Plus Exenatide in Obese Insulin-resistant Patients NCT03419624 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials terminated
• A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Gemigliptin in Type 2 Diabetes Who Have Inadequate GlycemIc Control With Dapagliflozin and Metformin (SOLUTION Study) NCT03842267 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• Empa Add on to Insulin in Japanese Patient With Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus NCT02702011 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
• Study of MEDI0382 in Combination With Dapagliflozin and Metformin in Overweight/Obese Participants With Type 2 Diabetes NCT03444584 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate Safety and Efficacy of Dapagliflozin and Saxagliptin in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) Aged 10 to Below 18 Years Old NCT03199053 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.