A Study to Explore the Efficacy and Safety of Atezolizumab Plus Tiragolumab and Chemotherapy in 1st Line HER2 Negative Unresectable, Recurrent or Metastatic Gastric Cancer or Adenocarcinoma of Gastroesophageal Junction (GEJ)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 17% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-11-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: her2cancermetastatictumoradenocarcinoma
  Phrases that lowered it: and safetyefficacy andsafety ofthe efficacyparticipants
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 10% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 126 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 1200 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 131653 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• First-line Apatinib Combined With Tislelizumab and Chemotherapy for Advanced GC NCT06238752 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 49% of active trials completed
• Anti-HER2 Bispecific Antibody Zanidatamab (ZW25) Activity in Combination With Chemotherapy With/Without Tislelizumab NCT04276493 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials completed
• A Study of Atezolizumab and Trastuzumab in Combination With Capecitabine and Oxaliplatin in Patients With HER2 Positive Locally Advanced Resectable Gastric Cancer of Adenocarcinoma of Gastroesophageal Junction NCT04661150 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials completed
• Pembrolizumab/Placebo Plus Trastuzumab Plus Chemotherapy in Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Positive (HER2+) Advanced Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction (GEJ) Adenocarcinoma (MK-3475-811/KEYNOTE-811) NCT03615326 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Pharmacokinetics of the Intravenous Fixed-Dose Combination (IV FDC) of Tiragolumab and Atezolizumab in Participants With Locally Advanced, Recurrent or Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT05661578 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.