A Pharmacokinetic and Pharmacodynamic Study of DZ-002 in Patients With Advanced Solid Malignancies or Lymphoma

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 15% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-04-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: patientheartfailureulntherapy
  Phrases that lowered it: pharmacokineticsmalepatients whothe studypatients with
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• DS-3201b and Irinotecan for Patients With Recurrent Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT03879798 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 62% of active trials terminated
• A Study of DZD2269 in Healthy Adult Participants NCT04932005 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• Study of DS-8201a, an Antibody Drug Conjugate for Advanced Breast Cancer Patients, With Biomarkers Analysis NCT04132960 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
• Open-Label, Multi-Center, Two-Part, Ph1 Study to Characterize the PKs of an Intravenous Micro-Dose of [14C]-Tazemetostat (EPZ 6438) and the ADME of an Oral [14C]-Labeled Dose of Tazemetostat in Subjects With B-Cell Lymphomas or Adv Solid Tumors NCT03010982 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 46% of active trials completed
• A Study of DT2216 in Relapsed/Refractory Malignancies NCT04886622 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 46% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.