Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics of TPOXX When Administered Orally for 28 Days
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 6% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (876 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-05-12, after 2022-03-29 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-05-12. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subject hasheartmyocardialinfarctionsubject is
Phrases that lowered it: vaccinationvaccinepkdayproducts -
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 50% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 12.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 80 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 5 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 8 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 50% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 12.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- tecovirimat
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Drug-Drug Interaction Study of Pacritinib and CYP450,Transporter Substrates, and CYP450 3A4 in Healthy Male Subjects NCT05657613 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess Safety, Tolerability and Exposure of 4ET1103 in Healthy Human Volunteers NCT07586514 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Phase 1, Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of INS018_055 in Healthy Subjects NCT05154240 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- A Study to Investigate the Effects of CBP-307 on the Heart Rate-corrected QT Interval (QTc) in Healthy Subjects NCT04818229 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics, of Single and Multiple Ascending Doses of FP-020 in Healthy Adult Volunteers NCT06334211 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.