Clinical Lot Consistency for RSVpreF in a Population of Healthy Adults 18 to ≤49 Years of Age
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-04-04, after 2021-10-21 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-04-04. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: safety tolerabilityplacebo controlledinterventionunstablepermitted
Phrases that lowered it: vaccinehealthyparticipantsparticipantvaccination -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.6% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past trials: 2002 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 180 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 49 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2002 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15.6% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 180 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety and Immunogenicity of RSVpreF Coadministered With SIIV in Adults ≥65 Years of Age NCT05301322 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess Safety, Tolerability and Immunogenicity of RSVpreF From Multidose Vials in Healthy Female Adults. NCT06473519 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- Safety Study of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-Fusion (F) Protein Particle Vaccine NCT01290419 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Study to Describe the Safety and Immunogenicity of a RSV Vaccine in Healthy Adults NCT03529773 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study to Learn About the Safety and Immune Activity of RSVpreF in Children 2 to <18 Years of Age NCT05900154 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.