Darolutamide + Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) in Chinese Men With High Risk, Nonmetastatic Prostate Cancer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 16% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-02-24. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancermetastaticcellcellstherapy
  Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantsdays beforemmhghealth
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 71 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 57.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 5.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study Called ARAMON to Learn to What Extent Does Study Treatment With Darolutamide Affects Testosterone Levels in Men With Prostate Cancer That Had Not Been Treated With Hormonal Therapy Compared to Treatment With Enzalutamide NCT05526248 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials completed
• Extreme Bipolar Androgen Therapy With Darolutamide and Testosterone Cypionate in Patients With Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer (ExBAT Trial) NCT04558866 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
• A Study to Learn How Well Darolutamide Administered Together With Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) Works in Men With Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer. Results Will be Compared With ADT Alone From a Previously Conducted Study. NCT05059236 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
• Denosumab in Combination With Enzalutamide in Progressive Metastatic Castrate-resistant Prostate Cancer and Bone Metastases. NCT03869762 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials terminated
• Study of Abiraterone Acetate Without Exogenous Glucocorticoids in Men With Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer NCT02025010 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.