Dexmedetomidine in the Treatment of Agitation Associated With Dementia (TRANQUILITY II)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 24% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 15% of the time (734 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-04-21. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: subjects withdementiasubjects whoassociatedacute
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsand safetyefficacyperiod28
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 65 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, psychiatry: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor's past trials: 6 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 16.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 3886 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Keywords listed: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 3 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Dexmedetomidine in the Treatment of Agitation Associated With Dementia (TRANQUILITY III) NCT05665088 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 87% of active trials terminated
• An Efficacy, and Safety Study Of BXCL501 For The Treatment Of Agitation Associated With Dementia NCT05276830 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials terminated
• Sub-Lingual Dexmedetomidine in Agitation Associated With Dementia NCT04251910 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
• Safety and Tolerability Study of Flexible Dosing of Brexpiprazole in the Treatment of Subjects With Agitation Associated With Dementia of the Alzheimer's Type NCT01922258 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
• A Phase 3, 12-week, Multicenter, Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, and Tolerability of 2 Fixed Doses of Brexpiprazole in the Treatment of Alzheimer's Agitation NCT01862640 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.