CAPOX + Bevacizumab + Tislelizumab Treating PD-L1 CPS < 5 Locally Advanced or Metastatic GEA
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,198 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-01-20, after 2022-04-25 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-01-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancertumorcarcinomasubjecttherapy
Phrases that lowered it: participantsefficacy andpressureurinaryand safety -
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 55 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 88625 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 36 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 9122 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 36 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 55 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 88625 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 9122 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 90.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 24.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab, tislelizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Toripalimab Injection in the Treatment of Recurrent or Metastatic Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma Who Have Failed at Least Two Prior Lines of Therapy and Are Positive Specific Markers NCT04603040 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials terminated
- Trastuzumab Deruxtecan Plus Nivolumab Plus Capecitabine Plus Oxaliplatin for HER2 Low Gastric and Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma NCT07529613 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed
- Tislelizumab Combined With Anlotinib and Chemotherapy (XELOX) in the Treatment of Advanced Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma (TALENT) NCT04963088 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials completed
- Lucitanib (AL3810) in Patients With Advanced Thymic Carcinoma After Chemotherapy NCT07824505 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
- Conversion Effects of PD-1 Antibody Camrelizumab Combined With Nab-POF Regimen Chemotherpy in Patients With Initially Unresectable Locally Advanced or Limited Metastatic Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma:FDZL-GC001 Trial NCT04510064 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.