Phase III Xevinapant (Debio 1143) and Radiotherapy in Resected LA SCCHN, High Risk, Cisplatin-ineligible Participants (XRAY VISION)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 26% for any early termination, 7% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-08-27. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: carcinomastagecisplatinsquamous celland neck
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsnasalparticipantvisitefficacy
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 35.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 50% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 100% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 1 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Radiotherapy Plus Xevinapant in Older Patients With Locally Advanced Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma NCT05724602 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials terminated
• Study of Xevinapant With Radiation and Chemotherapy for Patients With Head and Neck Cancer NCT06110195 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials terminated
• Phase 1b Safety Study of Xevinapant, Weekly Cisplatin, and RT in Participants With Unresected LA SCCHN (HyperlynX) NCT06056310 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials terminated
• A Study of Xevinapant With Cisplatin and Radiation Therapy After Surgery in People With Head and Neck Cancer NCT06145412 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials completed
• A Study of Xevinapant (Debio 1143) in Combination With Platinum-Based Chemotherapy and Standard Fractionation Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy in Participants With Locally Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck, Suitable for Definitive Chemoradiotherapy (TrilynX) NCT04459715 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.