Two-Part, Phase Ib/II, Open Label, Single-Arm, Multi-center Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Varlitinib in Combination With Weekly Paclitaxel in EGFR/HER2 Co-expressing Advanced or Metastatic Gastric Cancer Patients

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 17% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (851 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-06-13. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancercarcinomablood pressurecellsquamous
  Phrases that lowered it: her2msmultipleaminotransferasehas history
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.2% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 111 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 19 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past trials: 466 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 20.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 8361 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 48336 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Varlitinib in Combination With mFOLFOX6 for Advanced or Metastatic Gastric Cancer (First Line) NCT03130790 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
• Study of AZD1775 in Combination With Paclitaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients Harboring TP53 Mutation as a Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02448329 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
• Study of AZD6094 (Volitinib) in Combination With Docetaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With MET Overexpression as a Second-line Treatment NCT02447380 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
• A Study of IMU-131 (HER-Vaxx) in Combination With Chemotherapy or Pembrolizumab in Patients With Metastatic HER2/Neu Over-Expressing Gastric Cancer (nextHERIZON) NCT05311176 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials terminated
• Single-arm Study of Selumetinib in Combination With Docetaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With Low/High MEK Signature, RAS Mutation or RAS Amplification as a Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02448290 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.