Pharmacokinetics and Safety of MB-102 (Relmapirazin) and the MediBeacon Transdermal GFR Measurement System in Evaluation of Kidney Function in Normal and Renal Compromised Subjects

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 3% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (181 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-02-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: kidneystageadequatefunctiondialysis
  Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantssingle doseevaluate theto evaluate
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study of MB-102 (Relmapirazin) and the Use of the MediBeacon® Transdermal GFR Measurement System Using the TGFR Reusable Sensor With Disposable Adhesive Ring NCT05777174 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• A Bioequivalence and Efficacy Study of MB-102 (Relmapirazin) in Chinese Participants NCT05943977 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
• Pharmacokinetics of MB-102 and Use of the Non-invasive Optical Renal Function Monitor (ORFM) Device in Subjects With Normal and Impaired Renal Function and a Range of Skin Color Types NCT02772276 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• A Phase IIb, Multicenter, Open-Label, Prospective Study of Bremelanotide in Diabetic Kidney Disease NCT05709444 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 40% of active trials completed
• Study Assessing PK and Safety of MGTA-145 in Subjects With Normal Estimated GFR and Varying Degrees of Renal Impairment NCT04154670 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.