A Study to Evaluate the Pharmacokinetics, Safety, and Pharmacodynamics of Olpasiran in Participants With Normal Renal Function and Participants With Various Degrees of Renal Impairment

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 4% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (233 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-12-19. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: failureegfrsubjects withdefinedml min
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsthe pharmacokineticssingle doseparticipantbetween 18
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 65 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 639 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Investigate the Pharmacokinetics, Safety and Tolerability of AZD5462 in Participants With Renal Impairment NCT06661733 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• A Phase I Study to Assess the Pharmacokinetics of Olorofim in Subjects With Renal Impairment NCT05200286 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Pharmacokinetics, Safety and Tolerability of ALG-097558 in Subjects With Renal Impairment and in Healthy Subjects With Normal Renal Function NCT06698549 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
• Study to Assess the Plasma Concentration of Tolebrutinib Given as a Tablet to Adult Participants With Renal Impairment Compared to Healthy Participants. NCT05282030 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
• Elafibranor Pharmacokinetic Parameters in Renal Impaired Patients NCT03844555 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.