A Single Ascending Dose Study of JNJ-88260237 in Healthy Participants
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-05-09, after 2022-09-14 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-05-09. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: surgeryinterventioninfectionschronicascending
Phrases that lowered it: healthysinglescreeningparticipantinclusive -
Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 11.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 25 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 134 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 531 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Design: sequential (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- other (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 25 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 531 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 11.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 134 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of JNJ-64232025 in Healthy Participants NCT03550950 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- A Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics of JNJ-42847922 in Healthy Japanese Male Participants NCT02555124 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- A Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of JNJ-38877618 in Healthy Male Participants NCT01964872 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- A Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of JNJ-61803534 and to Evaluate the Effect of JNJ-61803534 on the Pharmacokinetics of Midazolam in Healthy Participants NCT03139500 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials terminated
- A Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of JNJ-64264681 in Healthy Male and Female Participants NCT03607513 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.