A Clinical Study of VA-CAG as Induction Therapy in Newly Diagnosed AML Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 17% for any early termination, 7% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-04-30, after 2022-12-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: leukemiaamlpatients mustmyeloidtherapy
Phrases that lowered it: hcvaminotransferasehepatitisand safetyefficacy and -
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 34.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 65 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 65 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 54211 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 13726 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 92.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 34.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- azacitidine, venetoclax
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Azacitidine Combined With Venetoclax and ATRA in Newly Diagnosed AML NCT05654194 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 34% of active trials completed
- Venetoclax Plus CACAG Regimen for Newly Diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT06068621 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
- A Study of Oral Venetoclax Tablet in Combination With Subcutaneous Low-Dose Cytarabine (LDAC) Injection to Assess Adverse Events in Adult Japanese Participants With Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT04509622 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
- Clinical Study of Venetoclax Combined with CACAG Regimen in the Treatment of Newly Diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT05659992 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 27% of active trials completed
- A Study of Oral Venetoclax Tablets and Oral Azacitidine as Maintenance Therapy in Adult Participants With Acute Myeloid Leukemia in First Remission After Conventional Chemotherapy NCT04102020 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.