Clinical Trial of Human Umbilical Cord Mesenchymal Stem Cells (IxCell hUC-MSC-S) in the Treatment of Ischemic Stroke
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 18% of the time (141 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-08-27, after 2023-04-10 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-08-27. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: ulncellreceivingischemictumors
Phrases that lowered it: singledrugdiseasesparticipantsthe efficacy -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Disease area, cardiovascular: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 80 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cardiovascular, neurology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of PN20 for the Prevention of Chemotherapy-induced Thrombocytopenia in Lymphoma or Solid Tumor Patients NCT06521931 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
- Study of Allogeneic Umbilical Cord Blood Infusion for Adults With Ischemic Stroke NCT03004976 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials completed
- Clinical Trial to Assess the Efficacy and to Evaluate Safety of HT047 in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke NCT02828540 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials completed
- A Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled Phase I Clinical Trial to Evaluate the Safety and Pharmacokinetic Profile of Single and Multiple Dose Escalation Topical Dermal Administration of SHR0302 Alkali Gel in Healthy Subjects NCT07098117 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- 1a/1b Study of OPT101 First in Human Study Assessing Safety and Tolerability of 15-mer Peptide. NCT04589403 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.