A Study Evaluating AHB-137 in Healthy Participants and Participants with Chronic Hepatitis B

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (776 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-01-07. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: ulnsafety tolerabilitydlcreatinineascending
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyvolunteersscreeningmasskg
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 0 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of AHB-137 in Healthy Participants and HBeAg-negative Chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) Patients NCT06115993 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics(PK), Pharmacodynamics(PD) and Food Effect of HRS9950 in Healthy and CHB Subjects NCT04464733 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of RO7062931in Healthy Volunteers and Subjects With Chronic Hepatitis B NCT03038113 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
• A Study Evaluating the Safety, Pharmacokinetics, and Antiviral Efficacy of SB 9200 in Subjects Infected With Chronic HBV NCT02751996 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials completed
• A Study Evaluating ABI-H0731-containing Regimens in Chinese Participants With Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection NCT04781647 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 24% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.