A Pivotal Study to Evaluate the Efficacy of Lorundrostat in Subjects With Uncontrolled Hypertension on a Standardized Antihypertensive Medication Regimen

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 20% of the time (389 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-01-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: chronic kidneykidney diseaserandomizationckdm2
  Phrases that lowered it: evaluate theto evaluateeffect ofat screeningand safety
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past trials: 1 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cardiovascular: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Efficacy and Safety of Lorundrostat in Subjects With Uncontrolled and Resistant Hypertension NCT06153693 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 30% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of Lorundrostat in Addition to Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors (SGLT2i) in Subjects With Hypertension and Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) With Albuminuria NCT06150924 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
• A Study to Investigate the Effect of Baxdrostat on Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Participants With Resistant Hypertension NCT06168409 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of the Combination Aliskiren (300 mg) and Hydrochlorothiazide (25mg) to Aliskiren (300mg) Monotherapy in Patients With Staged II Hypertension NCT00705575 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Aliskiren Alone and in Combination With Amlodipine in Essential Hypertension NCT00739973 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.