A Study to Find a Suitable Dose of BI 1821736 and Test Whether it Helps People With Advanced Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2025-04-10, after 2023-06-07 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-04-10. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: solidvirusadvancedtumorsreceive
Phrases that lowered it: openbiaccordingmgdose -
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 94 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 739 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: sequential (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 739 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 8.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 94 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Phase I Trial of BI 836845 for Various Solid Cancer NCT01403974 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- Monotherapy Dose Finding With BI 847325 in Solid Tumours NCT01324830 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- This Study Aims to Find and Test a Safe Dose of BI 905677 in Patients With Different Types of Cancer (Solid Tumours) NCT03604445 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials terminated
- A Study in Patients With Different Types of Advanced Cancer (Solid Tumors) to Test Different Doses of BI 907828 (Brigimadlin) in Combination With BI 754091 (Ezabenlimab) and BI 754111 or BI 907828 (Brigimadlin) in Combination With BI 754091 (Ezabenlimab) NCT03964233 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials completed
- Trial to Determine MTD of BI 836845 Administered Intravenously Once Every Three Weeks in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumours and Later a Weekly Dosing Schedule in Selected Tumour Types NCT01317420 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.