The Study of Tusamitamab Ravtansine (IBI126) Combined With Sintilimab and Tusamitamab Ravtansine (IBI126) Combined With Sintilimab Plus Platinum-based Chemotherapy and Pemetrexed in Subjects With CEACAM5 Positive Expression Advanced/Metastatic Non-squamous Non-small-cell Lung Cancer (NSQ NSCLC)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 23% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-12-22. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cellmetastaticsquamoustumoradvanced
  Phrases that lowered it: resultsdisorderopen labelcombinationapply
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 43 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 16.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 12333 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Tusamitamab Ravtansine (SAR408701) in Combination With Pembrolizumab and Tusamitamab Ravtansine (SAR408701) in Combination With Pembrolizumab and Platinum-based Chemotherapy With or Without Pemetrexed in Patients With NSQ NSCLC NCT04524689 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 65% of active trials terminated
• Tusamitamab Ravtansine in NSQ NSCLC Participants With Negative or Moderate CEACAM5 Expression Tumors and High Circulating CEA NCT05245071 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 42% of active trials terminated
• SAR408701 Versus Docetaxel in Previously Treated, Carcinoembryonic Antigen-related Cell Adhesion Molecule 5 (CEACAM5) Positive Metastatic Non-squamous Non-small-cell Lung Cancer Patients NCT04154956 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials terminated
• Tusamitamab Ravtansine (SAR408701) in Combination With Ramucirumab or Ramucirumab and Pembrolizumab in Pretreated Patients With NSQ NSCLC (CARMEN-LC04) NCT04394624 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials terminated
• Tusamitamab Ravtansine Monotherapy and in Combination in Patients With CEACAM5-positive Advanced Solid Tumors NCT04659603 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.