A Study to Evaluate the Drug-drug Interaction Potential of BMS-986196 in Healthy Participants
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 2% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-08-24, after 2023-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-08-24. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellbmscarcinomabasalmalignancy
Phrases that lowered it: participantshealthykgopen labelbody -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 9.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 90 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 864 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 747218 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Design: sequential (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 71.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 864 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 10.0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 90 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 7 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 747218 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 48101 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 71.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 9.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- caffeine, digoxin, flurbiprofen, midazolam, montelukast, omeprazole, pravastatin
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Assess the Effect of BMS-986419 on the Single Dose Drug Levels of Probe Substrates in Healthy Participants NCT05932277 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study Assessing the Drug Levels, Drug Effects, and Safety of BMS-986322 in Healthy Participants NCT04175925 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Safety, Pharmacokinetics and Target Engagement of BMS-986142 in Healthy Subjects NCT02257151 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Drug Exposure of Single Ascending Doses of BMS-986369 and the Effect of Food on the BMS-986369 in Healthy Participants NCT05350800 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Levels in Blood Plasma of BMS-986278 in Healthy Participants Following Administration of Tablets, With or Without Food, and in the Presence of an Antacid (Esomeprazole) NCT04468815 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.