Phase II Clinical Trial of OPS-2071 in the Treatment of Irritable Bowel Syndrome of Diarrhea Type
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 9% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-08-01, after 2023-08-02 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-08-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: diagnosislymphocyticivdepressiontumor
Phrases that lowered it: and safetydiseasesefficacy andscreeningmass -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 3.3% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 65 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 30 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 65 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 30 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 3.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 5 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Phase 2, Multi-center Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of ONO-2952 in Female Subjects With Diarrhea-Predominant Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS-D) NCT01844180 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of YKP10811 in Subjects With Irritable Bowel Syndrome With Constipation NCT02082457 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- Efficacy, Safety, and Tolerability of JNJ-27018966 (Eluxadoline) in the Treatment of Irritable Bowel Syndrome With Diarrhea NCT01130272 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 24% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of RDX5791 for the Treatment of Constipation Predominant Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS-C) NCT01340053 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 31% of active trials completed
- A Multi-Center Trial to Determine the Safety and Efficacy of LX1033 in Subjects With Diarrhea-Predominant Irritable Bowel Syndrome NCT01494233 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.