Comparison of Adjuvant Treatment With 177Lu-DOTATATE to Best Supportive Care in Patients After Resection of Neuroendocrine Liver Metastases
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 25% for any early termination, 17% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2025-10-21, after 2024-08-02 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-10-21. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: resectionequalpatientsmetastasesresectable
Phrases that lowered it: participantscompareclinicalblood20 -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 37.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 48 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 314 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 8 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 2 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 314 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 10.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 48 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 8 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 87.5% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 37.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- lutetium
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Systemic Therapy With or Without Upfront Transarterial Embolization for Inoperable Liver Metastasis of Neuroendocrine Tumors NCT01755182 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials terminated
- Neoadjuvant PRRT With 177Lu-DOTATATE Followed by Surgery for Resectable PanNET NCT04385992 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed
- Metabolic Radiotherapy After Complete Resection of Liver Metastases in Patient With Digestive Neuroendocrine Tumor NCT02465112 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials terminated
- Neoadjuvant PRRT With Y-90-DOTATOC in pNET NCT05568017 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials terminated
- Peptide Receptor Radionuclide Therapy (PRRT) with 177Lu-DOTATATE in Advanced Gastro-entero Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors NCT02489604 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.