A Trial to Evaluate the Effect of Esomeprazole on the Pharmacokinetics of Emraclidine in Healthy Adult Participants
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-06-20, after 2024-05-10 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-06-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: ulnbilirubinthe followingdiabetesactive
Phrases that lowered it: healthythe pharmacokineticsparticipantseffect ofevaluate the -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.3% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 8.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 234387 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 72.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 9 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 19 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 9 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 234387 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 8186 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 72.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 8.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- esomeprazole
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Assess Mass Balance, Pharmacokinetics, Metabolism, and Excretion of Emraclidine in Healthy Adult Male Participants NCT06301971 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- The Effect of Food on the Pharmacokinetics (PK) of Emraclidine in Healthy Adult Participants NCT05915546 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Study Evaluating the Pharmacokinetics and Relative Bioavailability of Emraclidine Immediate-Release Tablets in Healthy Adult Participants NCT05933187 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Trial to Evaluate the Effects of Itraconazole and Carbamazepine on the Pharmacokinetics of Emraclidine and of Emraclidine on the Pharmacokinetics of Metformin in Healthy Adult Participants NCT05965219 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Study in Healthy People to Test Whether Erythromycin Influences the Amount of BI 1291583 in the Blood NCT06917872 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.