A Study to Investigate the Safety and Pharmacokinetics of AZD6793 in Healthy Japanese and Chinese Participants

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (355 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-12-23. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: safety tolerabilitygreatertolerability andplacebo controlleddefined
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyparticipantparticipantsjapanesesingle
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 1903 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 9.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 172 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Design: sequential (lowers risk) · Design
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of Inhaled AZD4604 in Healthy Japanese and Chinese Participants. NCT06519968 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
• A Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics of AZD7503 in Healthy Participants NCT05143905 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics of AZD5055 in Japanese and Chinese Healthy Volunteers.. NCT05955183 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• A Single and Multiple Ascending Dose Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of AZD8965 in Healthy Participants (Including Japanese and Chinese Participants) and an Open-label Cohort to Assess the Effect of Food on the Pharmacokinetics of AZD8965 in Healthy Participants NCT06502379 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
• A Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of AZD6615 in Healthy Subjects NCT04055168 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.