Y-3 Injection in the Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke Phase II Clinical Trial

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 11% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 15% of the time (446 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-12-24. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: placeboscreeningsubjectsstrokekidney disease
  Phrases that lowered it: patientstrialand safetyparticipantsphase ii
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 64 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 46 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cardiovascular: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Y-3 for Injection in the Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke NCT06517173 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed
• Phase III Clinical Trial of Y-2 Sublingual Tablets in the Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke NCT04950920 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 34% of active trials completed
• Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of TTYP01 Tablets in the Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke NCT06648304 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 35% of active trials completed
• A Phase Ⅱb Study of XY03-EA Tablets in Acute Ischemic Stroke NCT06755944 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety Study of Neu2000KWL for Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Within 6 Hours of Onset NCT04486430 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 21% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.