Phase 1, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-controlled Study to Evaluate the Safety and Tolerability of an Enterovirus D68-specific Monoclonal Antibody in Healthy Adults
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 4% of the time (217 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-04-11, after 2024-06-26 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-04-11. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: infusiongradecancercellleft
Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantsscreeningbloodhealthy -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1478 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 74 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 49 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: sequential (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 6 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 49 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1478 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 8.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 74 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Single or Repeat Dose of G03-52-01 in Adult Subjects NCT05348993 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetic First in Human (FIH) Study of Intravenous (IV) TKM-100201 Infusion NCT01518881 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials terminated
- A Single and Multiple Ascending Dose Study of LAD603 in Healthy Subjects NCT06200597 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Phase 1 Study of SAR440894 vs Placebo NCT04441905 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Phase 1 Study of ART5803 in Healthy Participants NCT06575153 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.