A Study to Evaluate Skin and Plasma Pharmacokinetic of Multiple Doses of Povorcitinib After Oral Administration in Healthy Participants
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-09-18, after 2024-08-12 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-09-18. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: ulnchroniccountmultipleinfection
Phrases that lowered it: participanthealthyvaccineparticipantsinvestigator -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 32.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 19 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 39 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor's past trials: 155 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 19 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 155 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 32.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 39 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- povorcitinib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Assess the Effect of Povorcitinib on Digoxin, Rosuvastatin, and Metformin Pharmacokinetics and the Effect of Probenecid on Povorcitinib Pharmacokinetics When Administered Orally to Healthy Adult Participants NCT06416800 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Study to Assess Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics, & Food Effect of Oral INCB000631 to Healthy Adult Participants NCT06775327 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Effect of Food on the Single-Dose Pharmacokinetics and a Drug-Drug Interaction Evaluation of Itraconazole and Carbamazepine on INCB123667 When Administered Orally to Healthy Adult Participants NCT06909162 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study of Atorvo+™ in Healthy Adult Participants NCT06615284 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Clinical Study Aiming to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of a Single Administration of ZE50-0134 at 5 Dose Levels in Healthy Volunteers NCT06787131 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.