A Study on the Immune Response, Safety and the Occurrence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-Associated Respiratory Tract Illness After Administration of RSV OA Vaccine in Adults 60 Years and Older
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (876 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-09-15, after 2024-08-05 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-09-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: chemotherapytherapycancerconcurrenttransplantation
Phrases that lowered it: vaccineparticipantsoavaccinationparticipant -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past trials: 2786 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 85 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 60 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2786 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 85 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study in India on the Immune Response and Safety of a Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Older Adults (OA) Vaccine When Given to Older Adults 60 Years of Age and Above and Adults 50-59 Years of Age at Increased Risk (AIR) of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Lower Respiratory Tract Disease (RSV-LRTD) NCT06614725 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Efficacy Study of GSK's Investigational Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Vaccine in Adults Aged 60 Years and Above NCT04886596 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Study to Assess the Immune Response, the Safety and the Reactogenicity of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Prefusion Protein 3 Older Adult (OA) (RSVPreF3 OA) Investigational Vaccine When co Administered With PCV20 in Older Adults NCT05879107 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study on the Immune Response and Safety of Vaccine Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Given to Adults 18 to 49 Years of Age at Increased Risk for Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease, Compared to Older Adults 60 Years of Age and Above NCT06389487 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- A Study on the Immune Response and Safety of a Vaccine Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) When Given Alone or Co-administered With an Adjuvanted Vaccine Against Influenza in Adults Aged 65 Years and Above NCT05568797 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.