A Study of TAK-951 in Healthy Adults
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 6% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2023-09-21, after 2022-01-07 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “safety”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-09-21. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: heartcardiacblockmsecsyndrome
Phrases that lowered it: healthyparticipantvisitparticipantsscreening -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 62 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past trials: 517 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Keywords listed: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Number of arms: 9 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 9 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 517 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 12.0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 62 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A First-In-Human Study of TAK-004 in Healthy Adults NCT06236009 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- A TAK-831-1001, Single and Multiple Rising Dose Study in Healthy Participants NCT02566759 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials terminated
- A Study of TAK-951 in Healthy Adults NCT04486950 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics of Single Ascending Dose and Multiple Doses With Titration of TAK-935 in Healthy Japanese Participants NCT04461483 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- A Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics Study of TAK-828 Escalating Multiple-Doses in Healthy Participants NCT02817516 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.