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Comparative Efficacy & Safety of Dexmedetomidine vs Tramadol in Paeds Hernioraphy. A Caudal Anaesthesia Approach

NCT06735443 on ClinicalTrials.gov Phase 2/3 Sahiwal medical college sahiwal (government) Started 2021-03-06 Completed
Riskier than 14% of active trials
this trial: 9% 0% 36%

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 9% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase and sponsor type, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 7% of the time (56 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

How it ended

Completed on 2024-05-10, after 2021-03-06 start.

The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start

0% 23% 45% 68% 90% 0123456 yr completed 78% terminated 13%

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-05-10. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

What moved the score

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

The trial

Design

Phase
2/3 (typical: 2)
Number of arms
2
Allocation
randomized
Design
parallel
Primary purpose
treatment
Blinding
double (typical: none)
Has a data monitoring committee
Yes (typical: 56% yes)
Responsible party
principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
Collaborators
1 (typical: 0)
Keywords listed
0 (typical: 1)

Who can join

Minimum age
5 (typical: 18)
Maximum age
15 (typical: 71)
Sex
all
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes (typical: 9% yes)

Sponsor's track record

Sponsor type
government (typical: academic or other)
Sponsor's past trials
0 (typical: 32)
Sponsor's past termination rate
no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
0 (typical: 19)

Drug's FDA history

Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
2 (typical: 1)
Drug has FAERS history
Yes (typical: 64% yes)
Drug's FAERS reports before start
158821 (typical: 2148)
Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
24099 (typical: 412.5)
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
74.4% (typical: 85.6%)
Drug's FAERS reports with a death
12.5% (typical: 15.9%)

Disease area and drugs

Disease areas
none of the 14 tracked areas
Drugs matched to FDA substances
bupivacaine, tramadol

Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.

Similar finished trials

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.