Duration of Postop Analgesia After Inguinal Hernia Surgery Treated with TAP Block Vs II/IH Nerve Block
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 8% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 14% of the time (741 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-07-28, after 2024-02-09 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-07-28. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 66.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 5.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientstreatedsurgeryblockcardiac
Phrases that lowered it: hernia45analgesiacomparisonabdominal -
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 3 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 60 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Keywords listed: 25 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 25 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 60 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 3 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 3 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 15939 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1017 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 66.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 5.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bupivacaine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Ultrasound-guided Ilioinguinal/Iliohypogastric Nerve Block NCT05559437 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- IINB vs. QLB for Elective Open Inguinal Herniorrhaphy NCT03007966 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials completed
- Post-operative Analgesic Effects of Dexamethasone Added to Bupivacaine in Transversusabdominis Plane (TAP) Block NCT03863977 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- Fascia Transversalis Versus Transversus Abdominis Plane Block for Children Undergoing Inguinal Hernia Surgery NCT06326944 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- Dexmedetomidine to Levobupivacaine for Transversus Abdominis Plane Block in Elderly Patients Undergoing Inguinal Hernia Repair Surgery NCT04971759 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.