The Study on Effects of CYP3A and P-glycoprotein Inhibitor Itraconazole and CYP Enzyme Inducer Rifampin of HMPL-453 Tartrate Tablets
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-12-31, after 2025-03-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: mssubject hasophthalmicsubject isprior
Phrases that lowered it: healthyeffect ofthe effectperiodpharmacokinetics -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 30.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 14.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 9 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- other (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 23 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 30.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 9 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 32139 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2813 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 89.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 14.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- itraconazole, rifampin
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- HMPL-453 Food Effect and PPI Study in Healthy Volunteer Study NCT05930119 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- HMPL-689 Drug Interaction Study With CYP3A Inhibitor/CYP2C9 Inhibitor/CYP3A Inducer/PPI NCT05602597 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- HMPL-523 CYP3A/P-gp Inhibitor and CYP Inducer Study NCT05720767 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Phase 1 Study To Characterize The Safety, Tolerability, PK And PK Of Repeat Doses Of PF-06648671 In Healthy Adults And Healthy Elderly Subjects NCT02440100 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics/Pharmacodynamics of Oral Doses of H008 NCT05050188 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.