Carboplatin, Abraxane, and Bevacizumab in Previously Untreated Patients With Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 22% for any early termination, 25% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2015-04-30, after 2008-04-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellcancerradiationnsclcsquamous
Phrases that lowered it: within monthsopenbevacizumabavastinat screening -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 11.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 131 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 16.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Keywords listed: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 87.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 3 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 90 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 11.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 131 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 15274 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4219 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 87.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 16.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab, carboplatin, paclitaxel
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study of Combination Therapy of Carboplatin -Gemcitabine Plus Bevacizumab Beyond Progression in Patients With Locally Advanced and/or Metastatic Non-small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Who Have Not Received Prior Systemic Therapy NCT00702975 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed
- Paclitaxel Albumin-Stabilized Nanoparticle Formulation and Carboplatin in Treating Patients With Stage IIIB, Stage IV, or Recurrent Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00729612 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed
- Paclitaxel, Bevacizumab and Pemetrexed in Patients With Untreated, Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Using Web-Based Data Collection, Patient Self-Reporting of Adverse Effects and Automated Response Assessment NCT00807573 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 83% of active trials completed
- Ixabepilone and Carboplatin +/- Bevacizumab in Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer NCT00741988 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
- Paclitaxel Albumin-Stabilized Nanoparticle Formulation in Treating Patients With Previously Treated Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01620190 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 75% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.