Study of Combination Therapy of Carboplatin -Gemcitabine Plus Bevacizumab Beyond Progression in Patients With Locally Advanced and/or Metastatic Non-small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Who Have Not Received Prior Systemic Therapy

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 22% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: stagensclccellnon smallsquamous
  Phrases that lowered it: agreemmhgopensignsclinical
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.3% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 49 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 17.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past trials: 57 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 89.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Keywords listed: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Ixabepilone and Carboplatin +/- Bevacizumab in Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer NCT00741988 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
• Bevacizumab or Pemetrexed Disodium Alone or In Combination After Induction Therapy in Treating Patients With Advanced Non-Squamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01107626 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
• Paclitaxel, Carboplatin Plus Bevacizumab in Pretreated, Advanced or Metastatic Non Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00753909 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
• Paclitaxel, Bevacizumab and Pemetrexed in Patients With Untreated, Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Using Web-Based Data Collection, Patient Self-Reporting of Adverse Effects and Automated Response Assessment NCT00807573 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 83% of active trials completed
• Carboplatin, Abraxane, and Bevacizumab in Previously Untreated Patients With Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00642759 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.