Study Evaluating the Safety and Efficacy of FOLFIRI Plus Cetuximab or FOLFOX Plus Cetuximab as First-line Therapy in Subjects With KRAS Wild-type Metastatic Colorectal Cancer (APEC-Study)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 15% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-04-30, after 2009-02-28 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancermetastatictumortherapythe patient
Phrases that lowered it: labelopenefficacyrelevantmale -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 31 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 10.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, dermatology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 30 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 31 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 5499 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1209 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 79.5% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 10.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cetuximab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) Antagonist Chimeric Anti-EGFR Monoclonal Antibody Trial NCT03426371 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials terminated
- Safety and Efficacy Study of FOLFOX4+Panitumumab vs.FOLFIRI+Panitumumab in Subjects WT KRAS Colorectal Cancer and Liver-only Metastases NCT00885885 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed
- MoLiMoR - A Study With FOLFIRI-based First-line Therapy With or Without Intermittent Cetuximab NCT04554836 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of Triweekly Cetuximab in Combination With Capecitabine as First-line Maintenance Treatment for KRAS/BRAF Wild-type Metastatic Colorectal Cancer NCT05775900 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials completed
- 5-FU Based Maintenance Therapy in RAS Wild Type Metastatic Colorectal Cancer After Induction With FOLFOX Plus Panitumumab NCT03300609 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 56% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.