Study Evaluating Neratinib In Combination With Vinorelbine In Subjects With Advanced Or Metastatic Solid Tumors
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2010-04-30, after 2009-07-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2010-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: carcinomasubjects withventricularsubjectacute
Phrases that lowered it: weeks beforejapaneseaminotransferaseevaluate theday -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 15 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 96.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 12 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 15 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 944 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 159 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 96.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 24.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- neratinib, vinorelbine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study Of Neratinib (HKI-272) And Capecitabine In Japanese With Solid Tumor NCT01128842 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
- Study Evaluating Safety And Tolerability, Solid Tumor NCT00768469 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials completed
- Neratinib With and Without Temsirolimus for Patients With HER2 Activating Mutations in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01827267 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials completed
- Study to Compare Vinorelbine In Combination With the mTOR Inhibitor Everolimus vs. Vinorelbin Monotherapy for Second-line Treatment in Advanced Breast Cancer NCT01520103 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials completed
- Phase1 of Neratinib+Trastuzumab, Pertuzumab, Paclitaxel in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors/HER2+ NCT02593708 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.