To Assess the Pharmacokinetics of AZD1656 and Its Metabolite in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 7% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (816 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2010-10-31, after 2010-03-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2010-10-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: progressionassessneuropathyenrollmentdisease
Phrases that lowered it: the pharmacokineticspharmacokinetics ofsingle dosetype diabetesadministration -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 382 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: not given (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.3% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 780 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: not given (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- not given (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- not given (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- not given (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 780 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 382 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- metabolic, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Renal Impairment Study With ASP1941 NCT01302028 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- A Study in CKD Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Albuminuria NCT01847092 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics of ASP1941 in Diabetes Mellitus Patients With Renal Impairment NCT01097681 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- To Evaluate Safety and Tolerability After Multiple Oral Doses of AZD1656 in Type 2 Diabetes Patients on Top of Insulin NCT00768105 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate Safety, Tolerability and P-Glucose After Multiple Ascending Oral Doses of AZD1656 in Type 2 Diabetes NCT00747175 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.