A Study in CKD Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Albuminuria

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 11% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 11% of the time (493 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: transplantrandomizationbowelplacebo controlledblind placebo
  Phrases that lowered it: urinarytype diabeteswith typemellitusaged
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 6 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 0 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Evaluate ASP8232 as Add-On Therapy to Angiotensin Converting Enzyme Inhibitor (ACEi) or Angiotensin Receptor Blocker (ARB) in Reducing Albuminuria in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease NCT02358096 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Effect of Dapagliflozin on Blood Glucose Level and Renal Safety in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes NCT02413398 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials completed
• To Assess the Pharmacokinetics of AZD1656 and Its Metabolite in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients NCT01069926 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Effect of Dapagliflozin With and Without Saxagliptin on Albuminuria, and to Investigate the Effect of Dapagliflozin and Saxagliptin on HbA1c in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and CKD NCT02547935 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed
• Safety, Tolerability and Renal Effects of APX-115 in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes and Nephropathy NCT04534439 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.