Trial of Gemcitabine/Carboplatin With or Without Iniparib (SAR240550) (a PARP1 Inhibitor) in Subjects With Previously Untreated Stage IV Squamous Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 22% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2013-04-30, after 2010-03-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cell lungsquamouslung cancersmall cellnon small
Phrases that lowered it: patientsevaluate theaminotransferaseproductsreceive -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 180 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 479 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 92.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 479 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 12.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 180 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 12810 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2536 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 92.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- carboplatin, gemcitabine, iniparib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- SAR240550 in Combination With Gemcitabine/Cisplatin in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01086254 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials completed
- TAS-102 in Previously Treated Unresectable or Metastatic Squamous Cell Lung Carcinoma (UF-STO-LUNG-003) NCT02920476 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials completed
- Nogapendekin Alfa Inbakicept for Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT03520686 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials terminated
- Ipatasertib Plus Non-Taxane Chemotherapy for Advanced or Metastatic Triple-Negative Breast Cancer NCT04464174 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- Trial of Poor Performance Status Patients (ToPPS) NCT00892710 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.