Eribulin Mesylate in Combination With Intermittent Erlotinib in Patients With Previously Treated, Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 32% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-01-18. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: or equalequal togreatersubjectbrain
  Phrases that lowered it: lung cancernon smallcell lungsmall cellnsclc
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 29.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 41 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 99.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, dermatology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin Mesylate Administered Biweekly (Q2W) for Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-Negative Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT02481050 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
• A Randomized, Open-label, Multicenter, Phase 3 Study to Compare the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin With Treatment of Physician's Choice in Subjects With Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01454934 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin Mesylate in Combination With Pembrolizumab in Participants With Metastatic Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (mTNBC) NCT02513472 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
• Eribulin Mesylate Administered in Combination With Pemetrexed Versus Pemetrexed Alone as Second Line Therapy in Patients With Stage IIIB or IV Nonsquamous Non Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01126736 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
• A Confirmation Study of Eribulin in Combination With Capecitabine NCT01323530 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.