A Confirmation Study of Eribulin in Combination With Capecitabine

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 27% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-10-13. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: potentialgreatervisitulnheart
  Phrases that lowered it: open labeldrugcondomspermicideweeks before
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 45.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: sequential (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 27.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 8 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin Mesylate in Combination With Pembrolizumab in Participants With Metastatic Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (mTNBC) NCT02513472 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
• An Open-label, Multicenter, Multiple Dose, Phase 1 Study to Establish the Maximum Tolerated Dose of E7389 Liposomal Formulation in Patients With Solid Tumors NCT01945710 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials completed
• Eribulin Versus Vinorelbine in Subjects With Locally Recurrent or Metastatic Breast Cancer Previously Treated With Anthracyclines and Taxanes NCT02225470 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 43% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin Mesylate Administered Biweekly (Q2W) for Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-Negative Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT02481050 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
• A Two-stage Simon Design Phase II Study for Non-BRCA MBC Patients With HRD Treated With Olaparib Single Agent NCT03367689 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.