An Open-label, Multicenter, Multiple Dose, Phase 1 Study to Establish the Maximum Tolerated Dose of E7389 Liposomal Formulation in Patients With Solid Tumors

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 17% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-05-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Sponsor's past termination rate: 33.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: brainulnmetastasesmridefined
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantdrugperiodweeks
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 249 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 18 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Confirmation Study of Eribulin in Combination With Capecitabine NCT01323530 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
• Study of E7046 in Subjects With Selected Advanced Malignancies NCT02540291 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials terminated
• Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin Mesylate in Combination With Pembrolizumab in Participants With Metastatic Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (mTNBC) NCT02513472 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
• An Open-label, Dose Escalation, Pharmacodynamic, Pharmacokinetic, and Effect of Food Phase 1 Study of E7820 to Determine the Maximum Tolerated Dose Following Twice Daily Oral Administration in Subjects With Unresectable Solid Tumors NCT01773421 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
• Study of Intratumorally Administered Stimulator of Interferon Genes (STING) Agonist E7766 in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors or Lymphomas - INSTAL-101 NCT04144140 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.