Sym004 in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 19% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: tumorssolidcanceradvanceddose escalation
  Phrases that lowered it: effect oflabelthe trialinvestigatorvisit
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, dermatology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A First-in-human Study to Evaluate the Safety and Tolerability of AZD8853 in Participants With Selected Advanced/Metastatic Solid Tumours NCT05397171 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials terminated
• A Phase 1 Study Evaluating CB-5083 in Subjects With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT02243917 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 42% of active trials terminated
• Study of SAR444881 Administered Alone and in Combination With Other Therapeutics in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT04717375 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials terminated
• Study Evaluating the Safety, Pharmacokinetics (PK), Pharmacodynamics (PD), and Therapeutic Activity of Selicrelumab (RO7009789) With Vanucizumab or Bevacizumab in Participants With Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT02665416 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
• Trial of MEK Inhibitor and PI3K/mTOR Inhibitor in Subjects With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT01390818 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.