Study of SAR444881 Administered Alone and in Combination With Other Therapeutics in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2025-07-02, after 2021-04-11 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-07-02. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancersquamousand neckcarcinomahead and
Phrases that lowered it: participantsvaccineadministrationgastriccolorectal -
Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 11.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 63 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 997 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 19794 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 141940 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 0 (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Design: sequential (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 5 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 997 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 11.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 63 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 141940 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 19794 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 88.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- carboplatin, cetuximab, pembrolizumab, pemetrexed
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety and Efficacy Study of Vociprotafib (SAR442720) in Combination With Other Agents in Advanced Malignancies NCT04418661 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials terminated
- Dose Escalation and Expansion Study of SAR444200-based Regimen in Adult Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT05450562 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials terminated
- A First-in-Human Dose Escalation and Expansion Study to Evaluate Intratumoral Administration of SAR441000 as Monotherapy and in Combination With Cemiplimab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03871348 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials terminated
- A First-in-human Study of the Safety, Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics and Anti-tumor Activity of SAR439459 Monotherapy and Combination of SAR439459 and Cemiplimab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03192345 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 39% of active trials completed
- First Time in Human Study of AZD8701 With or Without Durvalumab in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumours NCT04504669 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.