A Single Dose Escalation Study In Healthy Volunteers To Determine The Pharmacokinetics, Safety And Tolerability Of PF-05089771 In Healthy Volunteers

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-09-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: placeboto determinedouble blindsafety tolerabilityqtc
  Phrases that lowered it: healthysubjectssubjectto investigateinvestigate the
• Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 14.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 397 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 854 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Keywords listed: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• The Safety and Tolerability of PF-05089771 Will be Investigated in Healthy Subjects Over a 14 Day Dosing Period. NCT01365637 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
• A First In Human Study In Healthy People To Evaluate Safety, Toleration And Time Course Of Plasma Concentration Of Single Oral Doses Of PF-06273340 NCT01601834 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• A Study In Healthy People To Evaluate Safety, Toleration And Time Course Of Plasma Concentration Of Multiple Oral Doses Of PF-04895162 NCT01691274 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
• A Multiple Dose Trial Evaluating the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of PF-04457845 in Healthy Volunteers NCT00836082 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• A Study To Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, And Pharmacokinetics Of PF-06266047 In Healthy Adult Subjects NCT02539550 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.